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Model Comparison — LessWrong

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20 coin flips yield 16 heads and 4 tails. Is the coin biased? Given data on 20000 rolls of an imperfect die, can we deduce not just the die's bias, but the physical asymmetries of the die? Given a set of x-y data, should we use a linear or quadratic regression? These are questions of model comparison. This sequence tackles model comparison from a Bayesian first-principles approach. Outline:

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