Import AI 455: AI systems are about to start building themselves.
Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe. AI systems are about to start building themselves. What does that mean?I’m writing this post because when I look at all the publicly available information I reluctantly come to the view that there’s a likely chance (60%+) that no-human-involved
Welcome to Import AI, a newsletter about AI research. Import AI runs on arXiv and feedback from readers. If you’d like to support this, please subscribe. AI systems are about to start building themselves. What does that mean?I’m writing this post because when I look at all the publicly available information I reluctantly come to the view that there’s a likely chance (60%+) that no-human-involved AI R&D - an AI system powerful enough that it could plausibly autonomously build its own successor - happens by the end of 2028. This is a big deal. I don’t know how to wrap my head around it.…
related reading
- Import AI 455: AI systems are about to start building themselves.importai.substack.com
- When AI builds itself \ Anthropicanthropic.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion?forethought.org
- Will We See AI with Recursive Self Improvement in 2028? Likely Not.substack.com
- II. From AGI to Superintelligence: the Intelligence Explosion - SITUATIONAL AWARENESSsituational-awareness.ai
- Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?dwarkesh.com
- Import AI 458: Reckoning with the future; and a singularity story | Import AIjack-clark.net
- My picture of the present in AI — LessWronglesswrong.com
- The Goodhart Singularitysubstack.com
- AI 2027ai-2027.com
- On Recursive Self-Improvement (Part I)substack.com