The Arena for Accountable Predictions - Long Bets
The purpose of Long Bets is to improve long–term thinking. Long Bets is a public arena for enjoyably competitive predictions, of interest to society, with philanthropic money at stake. The Long Now Foundation furnishes the continuity to see even the longest bets through to public resolution. This website provides a forum for discussion about what may be learned from the bets and their eventual outcomes. MORE » the rules bets & predictions make a about FAQ FEATURED BET DURATION 4 YEARS 02017-02020 PREDICTOR Martin Rees CHALLENGER Steven Pinker will go to Givewell if Rees wins, or Givewell if Pinker wins. review and discuss this bet » more bets » FEATURED PREDICTION DURATION 9 YEARS 02020-02030 PREDICTOR Dale Vince CHALLENGER Challenge Vince to a bet! review and discuss this prediction » more predictions »