AGI is not a milestone

There is no capability threshold that will lead to sudden impacts

With the release of OpenAI’s latest model o3, there is renewed debate about whether Artificial General Intelligence has already been achieved. The standard skeptic’s response to this is that there is no consensus on the definition of AGI. That is true, but misses the point — if AGI is such a momentous milestone, shouldn’t it be obvious when it has been built? In this essay, we argue that AGI is not a milestone. It does not represent a discontinuity in the properties or impacts of AI systems. If a company declares that it has built AGI, based on whatever definition, it is not an actionable…

related reading

• AI as Normal Technology | Knight First Amendment Instituteknightcolumbia.org
• Three Observations - Sam Altmanblog.samaltman.com
• Planning for AGI and beyond | OpenAIopenai.com
• A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Agedemishassabis.substack.com
• Why do people disagree about when powerful AI will arrive?blog.bluedot.org
• Does AI Progress Have a Speed Limit?—Asteriskasteriskmag.com
• Why AGI Will Not Happen - Tim Dettmerstimdettmers.com
• Clarifying and predicting AGI — LessWronglesswrong.com
• Demis Hassabis (@demishassabis) on Xx.com
• A Framework for Frontier AI and the Dawning of a New Agex.com
• Artificial General Intelligence Is Already Herenoemamag.com
• Economics and Transformative AI | Tom Cunningham – Tom Cunninghamtecunningham.github.io